(Originally posted on the
Futurists list at yahoogroups.com on 26 May 2002. Changes have been introduced.)
Lately, I've been thinking about the role of Earth--a near-future Earth, actually, if you define "near" as the next few millennia.
One thing I've noticed is that a lot of television shows tend to future humans competing alongside assorted alien cultures as approximate equals, as people who should be consulted as more-or-less equals in particular areas of science, like genetics. The television show
Earth: Final Conflict, for instance, has experts in the human biological sciences being treated as experts, and humans in general being considered honoured partners (even if not quite mature enough to handle interplanetary travel, but never mind that). Other series often introduce the humans of Earth into a mess of galactic politics and suddenly, using very marginal resources, carving a renowned name for themselves in said mess. Even in
Babylon 5, where the
Earth-Minbari War accidentally started by an adventurous Earth government would have ended in the extermination of
homo sapiens sapiens but for Minbari mercy, Earth ended up remaining a power of note despite being thoroughly defeated.
All these stories seem exceptionally optimistic to me. We can get an idea how unrealistic by examining the figures bandied about, of energies necessary to produce
working wormholes, of the costs needed to generate these energies, but we often don't really understand it, or don't want to. A society that can do that is as far ahead of us (as defined here, briefly, as "we post-industrial societies, from Honolulu to Seoul to Prague to Dublin") as, well, we are ahead of most of the Third World.
( Read more... )All this, of course, is just a science-fictional rumination. I suspect myself that this will never come to pass, simply because extraterrestrials are probably few and far between given the difficulty of generating complex life and the evitability of intelligence and language. Still, it's something science-fiction writers should consider.