Dec. 4th, 2008

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Canada's ongoing parliamentary dispute has just now paused, or something.

Prime Minister Stephen Harper has obtained Governor-General Michaëlle Jean's consent to temporarily shut down Parliament, a move that allows him to avoid a confidence vote next week that he was expected to lose.

It's a blow for the Liberal-NDP coalition, backed by the separatist Bloc Québécois, that was seeking to replace the minority Conservative goverment.

The development buys time for Mr. Harper to assemble an economic package that he hopes will discourage the multiparty alliance from taking him down at that time.

Emerging from Rideau Hall after more than two hours, Mr. Harper said Parliament will return on Jan. 26 and the first order of business will be the 2009 budget.

He grudgingly acknowledged he has to make peace with the opposition parties. "Obviously we have to do some trust-building here on both sides."

The Prime Minister said he will spend December and January hammering out the budget. "My work over the next few weeks will be focused almost exclusively on preparing the federal budget."

He added that he hoped the other parties would work with him. "Canadians expect us to get on with this."

Mr. Harper suggested that not all opposition MPs were happy with the coalition that sought to replace him. "I think there are many people in the opposition that were not entirely comfortable with a different path."

The Prime Minister also took time to admonish the Liberals and New Democrats for considering an alliance with the Bloc. In reference to the separatist party, he said: "My Canada includes Quebec, their Quebec does not include Canada."

Standing in the foyer of the House of Commons after Mr. Harper's announcement, Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion said: "We must realize the enormity of what has happened here today. For the first time in the history of Canada, the Prime Minister of Canada is running away from the Parliament of Canada."

All three opposition leaders said they still intend to bring down the government. Mr. Dion said only a "monumental change" on Mr. Harper's part would alter that.

NDP Leader Jack Layton said the coalition will not be abandoning its accord over the next seven weeks while the Commons is shuttered.

"I cannot have confidence in a Prime Minister who would throw the locks on the door of this place, knowing that he's about to lose a vote in the House of Commons," Mr. Layton said. "That's denying about as fundamental a right as one has in a democracy."

Bloc Leader Gilles Duceppe reacted similarly. "We don't believe him and we don't have confidence in him."

The Prime Minister's bid to buy time, however, may work in his favour, with cracks in the coalition already emerging.

Liberal MP Jim Karygiannis wasted no time in calling Mr. Dion to be replaced before the House returns in January. "Who are we kidding? I think it's over," he said, heading into a closed door caucus meeting.

"To become Prime Minister at all costs? Where do we take the Liberal brand? ... The brand got hit. The brand is good. The CEO of the company screwed up."

The Scarborough MP emerged from caucus saying the party supports remaining in the coalition, but Mr. Dion must be replaced. "The party still wants the coalition to keep together. My constituents want Mr. Dion to go."

He said it's time to move the party's leadership race up - a conventon is slated for May - or find some way of making sure it has "a leader who can lead us" if there is an election in February or March.
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As the Toronto Star points out, Harper's attacks on the Bloc Québécois are having great results inasmuch as national unity is concerned.

Parti Quebecois Leader Pauline Marois can thank Prime Minister Stephen Harper's Quebec-bashing for helping to push sovereignty to the fore in the provincial election campaign.

Former PQ premier Bernard Landry says Harper's attacks on the ``separatist coalition" which includes the Bloc Quebecois, could have an impact on Monday's vote.

"It's possible that people who may or may not be sympathizers of the Bloc will be drawn to the Parti Quebecois," Landry said Thursday.

But it remains to be seen whether Premier Jean Charest's chances of a majority government will really be affected.

Harper toned down his rhetoric slightly on Thursday after meeting with Gov. Gen. Michaelle Jean and getting her approval to prorogue Parliament. The prime minister acknowledged the Bloc has a legitimate place in the Commons as an elected party.

Political scientist Harold Chorney says the prime minister is playing a dangerous game and his anti-Bloc rhetoric will reinvigorate the Parti Quebecois.

He agrees with Landry there will be some spillover from Ottawa after some Conservatives suggested it was treason to build a coalition with separatists.

"There will be some voters who are sort of tentative Bloquistes, who don't vote for them all the time, who might go over to the Parti Quebecois because they are deeply offended," he said.

But Chorney added he does not expect Harper's controversial remarks to change opinion polls which suggest Charest's Liberals were headed for a majority government.

"They've been confident about a majority, but you never know in Quebec," he said.

"I assume Mr. Charest is going to win, I assume he is going to win effectively and we'll see what kind of majority he gets.

"I don't think that this time it's in the cards for Madame Marois to become premier of Quebec."
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