[URBAN NOTE] "Reading the Polls"
Apr. 11th, 2013 11:56 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
rfmcdonaldWonkman has an interesting analysis of past two years of polling Torontonians about Rob Ford, breaking it down by pre-amalgamation city and excluding outlier polls (which turns out to be favourable to him). The result?
This, Wonkman notes, has consequences: "It suggests that Rob Ford is testing voters’ patience: that, contrary to what he’d probably hoped for, he hasn’t grown on us. As with most elected officials, voters have become less inclined to forgive his mistakes." Go to his post to read the full analysis.
- Mayor Ford’s support has bottomed out in two cities: in both Toronto (red) and Etobioke (purple), he’s at all-time lows.
- Rob Ford has never been more beloved in North York at any point in his administration. Even during the honeymoon immediately following his election and inauguration, his numbers weren’t this good.
- His support has cratered in the last few months, roughly an 8-10% drop city-wide. Late 2012 and early 2013 were very good for mayor Ford: he reached all-time highs in Etobicoke and Scarborough, and even did quite well in Toronto, nearly matching his honeymoon numbers. But that’s crashed down to earth recently, with all three of these cities showing significant declines—even once you average out the numbers.
This, Wonkman notes, has consequences: "It suggests that Rob Ford is testing voters’ patience: that, contrary to what he’d probably hoped for, he hasn’t grown on us. As with most elected officials, voters have become less inclined to forgive his mistakes." Go to his post to read the full analysis.
