May. 6th, 2013

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Yesterday, I joined my father on a pair of guided tours that were part of the Jane's Walk urbanists weekend, following the course of the now-buried Garrison Creek. At the end of Jon Harstone's "Landscape Archaeology of Garrison Creek", which took us from Bloor (Christie Pits) down to the southeast corner of Trinity Bellwoods Park on Queen Street, I saw this modest young cherry tree in bloom.

A cherry tree blossoming in Trinity Bellwoods Park
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  • Bag News Notes' Michael Shaw documents in photographs the docking of the Freedom Tower's spire with the building.

  • The Dragon's Tales links to a paper analyzing the extent to which increased atmospheric carbon dioxide compensate for a planet's relatively dimmer, or more distant, sun.

  • Daniel Drezner approves of Obama's attempt to lead public opinion by pointing out that there are a lot of good things going on in Mexico.

  • Eastern Approaches notes that Polish prime minister Donald Tusk is encountering serious conflict within his Civic Platform party between social liberals and conservatives.

  • The Everyday Sociology Blog's Sally Roskoff notes that correlation is not causation, starting with an amusing graphic purporting to illustrate the connection between falling rates of Internet Explorer browser usage and falling murder rates.

  • Marginal Revolution's Tyler Cowen starts a discussion about which athletes and entertainers are more likely to come out that others.

  • The New APPS Blog's Helen De Cruz argues that there are proportionally many more female academics in Turkey than (for instance) Belgium because, among other things, the modern tradition of women working in academia is strongly implanted and female academics can easily acquire cheap household labour.

  • Open the Future's Jamais Cascio talks about the fuzzy now. If transported backwards or forwards in time, how long would it take for an observer to pick up on the many small and large changes?

  • Understanding Future's Daniel Little introduces people to some discussions on the future of Detroit.

  • Window on Eurasia's Paul Goble notes a Russian analyst claiming that the Russian elite has definitively accepted the independence of the Baltic States in a way that it hasn't that of the other former Soviet republics.

  • Alex Harrowell does not think that Labour need go out of its way to try to attract UKIP voters to its left-wing economic policies, inasmuch as the only change that Labour could make to attract these UKIP voters is become more bigoted.

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The Toronto Star's Tess Kalinowski introduces the idea of the TTC taking over the Bixi bike-sharing program. I have to say that while the idea does appeal to me thematically--why not integrate all of Toronto's transit networks?--I wonder whether the TTC can really take on Bixi with its debt of four million dollars. Noteworthy is the fact that the mass transit agency of Montréal, the city that introduced Bixi to Canadians, has chosen not to take on that city's Bixi network despite its higher ridership (and, apparently, its own debt).

[Toronto Transit Commission chair Karen] Stintz said she will make a motion at this week’s council meeting requesting staff explore the idea.

“I absolutely see Bixi as being an integral part of public transit in the city,” the councillor for Eglinton-Lawrence told CP24 on Sunday.

It’s a natural fit, said Jared Kolb of Cycle Toronto.

“When you look at trips within our city, what public bike systems like Bixi do is they fill in the gaps for trips that are too short to take transit or too far to walk – that two-kilometre sweet spot,” he said.

Once the Presto fare card is launched across the TTC – something that’s supposed to happen by the Pan Am Games in 2015 – it could also be used to access Bixi bikes, suggested Kolb.
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Tavia Grant's article in The Globe and Mail makes for disturbing reading. The idea that smaller urban centres in central and eastern Canada tend to be experiencing at best stagnation in jobs, never mind income, is disturbing. I like the idea of a well-balanced urban hierarchy. (Charlottetown, happily, is doing well, with four thousand new jobs since 2005.)

New analysis by the Conference Board of Canada finds that 21 of the 46 medium-sized cities it tracks haven’t yet seen employment return to pre-recession levels.

In some cases, the decline is dramatic. Labour markets in New Glasgow, N.S.; Miramichi, N.B.; Saint-Hyacinthe, Que.; Medicine Hat, Alta.; and Vernon, B.C., have suffered a marked drop in the past decade.

“This is a troubling turn of events, given that these mid-sized cities play an important role as economic engines in their respective regions,” said Mario Lefebvre, director of the Centre for Municipal Studies. While the country – at an aggregate level – may have regained the jobs lost in the recession, “the employment picture has been uneven among Canada’s mid-sized cities over the past decade or so.”

Six mid-sized cities posted average job gains of at least 3 per cent a year – which amounts to growth of more than 20 per cent in the past seven years. They are: Brockville and Leamington in Ontario; Lethbridge and Wood Buffalo in Alberta; and Chilliwack and Duncan in British Columbia.

Most of these cities had been bustling up until the 2008-2009 recession. But the ensuing downturn caused economies to contract in 29 of the cities tracked. The recession was “particularly painful” for medium-sized cities in Ontario, the report said, where economies shrank in all 11 of these urban centres. By contrast, seven of 10 mid-sized cities in Atlantic Canada posted growth even through this period.
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I took part in two of the guided tours of Toronto's Jane's Walk with my visiting father yesterday, the pair tracing the history of now-buried but still barely visible Garrison Creek, the first being Jon Harstone's guide to the legacies of Garrison Creek in the streetscape below Christie Pits down to Trinity Bellwoods Park and Queen Street West, the second the Homegrown National Park's guided advocacy of the remainder of the stream's course to Lake Ontario. I largely agree with the sentiments expressed in Christopher Hume's Toronto Star article "Jane’s Walk puts Toronto on display" that these walks do help people get to know their communities better, representing a sort of necessary enculturation of city and neighbourhood history for people unfamiliar with deep history.

[I]n Toronto, Jane’s Walk has special significance. In 1968, Jane Jacobs the great American author, urban observer and destroyer of mid-century planning pieties, left New York for this city, where she played a quiet yet influential role.

As much as anyone, Jacobs allowed Toronto to feel good about itself. Yes, she fought everything from amalgamation to the island airport, but more important than that, she chose to live here. In a city in constant need of approval, that counts for a lot. Little wonder that when she died in 2006 she was the unofficial patron saint of Toronto.

That’s not something anyone who knew Jacobs would have told her even in jest; she would have been aghast at such a thought. Still, one can’t help but wonder what she would make of a city that has changed so much since her death.

Although Jacobs was conservative in the non-ideological sense of the word, it goes without saying she would have been appalled by contemporary civic politics and Mayor Rob Ford, whose ignorance of the city stands in stark contrast to her lifelong attempt to understand how they work. It’s probably a safe guess she wouldn’t be convinced by Toronto’s desire to become the high-rise condo capital of the planet.
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A Bit More Detail isn't going to become an all-cherry blossom blog, but I thought readers who like my photos of the weekend and this morning might like Todd Aalgaard's Torontoist post about the High Park cherry blossoms. Extensive history, natural and otherwise, is included.

For a few days each spring, an arguably ironic thing happens in High Park. Hemmed in by winter for months, what feels like Toronto’s entire population spills into the park, eager to breathe air that doesn’t freeze the lungs—and, presumably, to feel a little closer to nature. But the result isn’t exactly the long exhale of spring that many expect.

Instead, it’s as if the city comes to a halting critical mass in High Park’s 161 hectares of space, stopping to smell the flowers in numbers that can rival Yonge-Dundas Square. The day seems anything but pastoral or bucolic.

Traffic—cars, bikes, longboards, scooters—snarl the park’s entrances, with the intersection at High Park and Bloor nearly blocked by the density of arriving vehicles alone. Along West Road, the lawns and shaded groves near the Forest School fill quickly, as crowds of camera-wielding residents turn what was all but abandoned only two weeks ago into a festival scene. Even at the sweltering height of summer, High Park isn’t as overwhelmingly, blissfully popular as it is for this brief, fleeting sliver of spring.

Yes, it’s that time of year again, and it’s like a dream. As West Road plunges down the first in a series of hills into High Park, it veers toward a sharp, right-hand pedestrian turn—which then plunges even more steeply toward Grenadier Pond. This time of year, the path is bursting with cherry blossoms—and not just any cherry blossoms (or, in Japanese, sakura). These are examples of the most resplendent species of cherry blossom in the world.

In 1959, the citizens of Tokyo presented the citizens of Toronto with our city’s first Yoshino Cherry tree—what’s known in Japanese as somei yoshino. In Japan, these deciduous trees—relatively small in stature, growing to between five and 12 metres in height—are naturally occurring hybrids, believed to be descended from the Oshima cherry trees of Japan’s Izu Peninsula, near Tokyo. Because of their adaptability to a range of temperate environments, the trees have become globally renowned, and are perhaps one of the most widely cultivated types of sakura in the world.
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I’ve passed 934 Ossington Avenue, located on Ossington just south of Dupont Street, innumerable times. In the past couple of years, it’s been in the news for the unfortunate fact that resident Allan Lanteigne was murdered there in March 2003. The entire sad murder case was covered extensively at Xtra!. Amy Dempsey’s Toronto Star article of the 22nd of February of this year provides a succinct summary of what’s believed to have happened.

The house where Allan Lanteigne was killed in March 2011 sits on a busy stretch of Ossington Ave. a few blocks northwest of Christie Pits Park. Police have released few details since the University of Toronto accounting clerk was found dead, but it is believed he was beaten to death.

Lanteigne had been living in the house since 2006, two years after he married Demitry Papasotiriou, a Greece-born Toronto lawyer. Papasotiriou, 33, co-owns the property with his aunt and uncle, who live in Manitoba. At the time of the murder, Lanteigne was living alone at the house. Papasotiriou had moved to Europe. According to friends and police, they were estranged.

Last November, more than a year and a half after Lanteigne’s death, police charged Papasotiriou with first-degree murder. Soon after, his business associate, Mladen “Michael Ivezic, 52, was also charged with murder. Police have said Papasotiriou was in Europe at the time of the killing.

All of this came as a shock to Karin Horvath, a Toronto real estate agent who was the first to list the Ossington Ave. residence for sale in November 2011, eight months after the murder and a full year before her client, Papasotiriou, was charged.

Papasotiriou was still living in Europe when he and his aunt and uncle decided to list the property with Horvath. Before taking it on, Horvath did a Google search of the address to see if anything unusual came up. The murder was one of the first results. Horvath said Papasotiriou told her the victim was a tenant about whom he knew little. She said she had no idea he was actually married to Lanteigne.


Video of the home is still online courtesy of the realtor.



Comments, unsurprisingly, are disabled. Perhaps unsurprisingly, given the real estate market in Toronto, it eventually sold.

Two years after a Toronto man was murdered in an Ossington Ave. luxury home that belonged to his estranged husband, the property has sold for $900,000.

The buyers, a professional couple in their mid-30s, were aware of the home’s gruesome history and went for it anyway.

“It’s a great conversation piece, says realtor Ali Ahmed, who represented them in the deal.

“No, I’m kidding, he adds after a pause. “They are aware about the history and they’re not the superstitious type.

After a four-month property hunt, the new owners of 934 Ossington Ave. snagged the three-storey, five-bedroom detached brick house for $50,000 shy of its most recent asking price and are set to take possession next month. Although they felt badly for the victim, the couple had no qualms about buying the place.

It took multiple listing agents, 16 months and a bit of a discount to sell the so-called “stigmatized property — a blanket term used to describe homes with unfortunate histories that could affect their market potential.
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My first reaction to Niall Ferguson's statement that John Maynard Keynes' theory of economics was motivated by the fact that, as a gay man, he was inherently not oriented towards considerations of the future, was confusion that Ferguson got the facts so badly wrong. Keynes was not completely gay but rather bisexual, married to a woman he loved, and disappointed that they didn't have children (his wife is known to have miscarried at least once). Ferguson's impressively thorough apology has been undermined by Ferguson's long history of saying this about Keynes, something that makes it unlikely that Ferguson misspoke. As described by Slate's Matthew Yglesias, Ferguson doesn't understand Keynes' economics any better than he does Keynes' biography. Keynesianism, Yglesias argues, is inherently future-oriented.

The assumption that Keynes only cared about the short run stems from Keynes’ too-often quoted line that “in the long-term we are all dead.” This is, obviously, true. But while it’s often taken to be something like a 1930s version of YOLO, that kind of carpe diem economics has nothing to do with what Keynes was actually writing about.

The line appears not in the General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money but in 1923’s Tract on Monetary Reform. Most countries, including Great Britain, had abandoned the gold standard during World War I. After the war, the major powers sought to return to gold and the British authorities wanted to return their currency to its pre-war peg, a step Keynes thought would be disastrous. The question of the long run arose in response to the claim that overvaluing a currency relative to the currencies of its trade partners can’t make a difference since in the long-run domestic prices will adjust to any exchange rate.

Keynes says that this is true. If after the conclusion of the American Civil War “the American dollar had been stabilized and defined by law at 10 percent below its present value” that would have had no implications for the world economy of the 1920s, 60 years later. Nominal prices would have adjusted. “But this long run is a misleading guide to current affairs,” he wrote, “In the long run we are all dead. Economists set themselves too easy, too useless a task if in tempestuous seasons they can only tell us that when the storm is long past the ocean is flat again.”

To extend the metaphor, Keynes’ point wasn’t that the long-term is unimportant—it’s crucial that a ship eventually arrive at the correct port. But in the middle of the storm an expert sailor needs to be able to say something useful about how to weather what’s actually happening. Economics will not be a useful or interesting discipline if all it can say about exchange rates is that eventually things will work themselves out. In the short run, it makes quite a bit of difference what happens to exchange rates: It can make the difference between prosperity and recession. Policymakers and the public should demand that economists have something to say about it.
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