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  • Architectuul looks at the divided cities of the divided island of Cyprus.

  • Bad Astronomer Phil Plait shares an image of a galaxy that actually has a tail.

  • Maria Farrell at Crooked Timber talks about her pain as an immigrant in the United Kingdom in the era of Brexit, her pain being but one of many different types created by this move.

  • The Crux talks about the rejected American proposal to detonate a nuclear bomb on the Moon, and the several times the United States did arrange for lesser noteworthy events there (collisions, for the record).

  • D-Brief notes how the innovative use of Curiosity instruments has explained more about the watery past of Gale Crater.

  • Bruce Dorminey notes one astronomer's theory that Venus tipped early into a greenhouse effect because of a surfeit of carbon relative to Earth.

  • Far Outliers looks at missionaries in China, and their Yangtze explorations, in the late 19th century.

  • Gizmodo notes evidence that Neanderthals and Denisovans cohabited in a cave for millennia.

  • At In Media Res, Russell Arben Fox writes about his exploration of the solo music of Paul McCartney.

  • io9 looks at what is happening with Namor in the Marvel universe, with interesting echoes of recent Aquaman storylines.

  • JSTOR Daily looks at the Beothuk of Newfoundland and their sad fate.

  • Language Hat explores Patagonian Afrikaans.

  • Lawyers, Guns and Money reports on how mindboggling it is to want to be a billionaire. What would you do with that wealth?

  • The Map Room Blog shares a visualization of the polar vortex.

  • Marginal Revolution reports on the career of a writer who writes stories intended to help people fall asleep.

  • The New APPS Blog reports on the power of biometric data and the threat of its misuse.

  • Neuroskeptic takes a look at neurogenesis in human beings.

  • Out There notes the import, in understanding our solar system, of the New Horizons photos of Ultima Thule.

  • Jason Davis at the Planetary Society Blog notes that OSIRIS-REx is in orbit of Bennu and preparing to take samples.

  • Roads and Kingdoms shares a list of 21 things that visitors to Kolkata should know.

  • Mark Simpson takes a critical look at the idea of toxic masculinity. Who benefits?

  • Starts With A Bang's Ethan Siegel explains why global warming is responsible for the descent of the polar vortex.

  • Window on Eurasia notes how the pro-Russian Gagauz of Moldova are moving towards a break if the country at large becomes pro-Western.

  • Arnold Zwicky looks at the art of Finnish painter Hugo Simberg.

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  • Some think the Green Line in Cyprus can be a suitable model for post-Brexit Northern Ireland. So depressing. European think-tank Brughel reports.

  • Fiji is already starting to see an influx of migrants/refugees from lower-lying Pacific island countries. DW reports.

  • The Queen making use of Cayman Islands tax shelters only makes sense. She is queen there, after all. Open Democracy reports.

  • Global News notes that a Québec family has put up for sale a private island in New Brunswick, on the Bay of Fundy.

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CBC News' Nil Köksal reports on the continuing, sad, and politically necessary search in Cyprus for the graves of the many Cypriots killed in that island's recent history of ethnic war.

There were 84 skeletons, all in one place.

It wasn't the first, or the last, mass grave Ceren Ceraloglu would search, but the feeling of standing over that particular pit, with its staggering number of victims, has stayed with her.

A field archaeologist with the Committee on Missing Persons (CMP) in Cyprus, Ceraloglu has been sifting through the most painful parts of her island's past.

It's not the kind of work this mother of triplets imagined she'd be doing when she was studying archaeology in university. But it's become a calling.

Not just because the excavations aim to return the remains of those killed in the conflict between Greek and Turkish Cypriots to their families, but because scientists from both communities work side by side, every day.

There is no room for conflict here.
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The Guardian's Helena Smith reports on the prospects for peace and eventual reunification in Cyprus. I only hope that the negotiating parties will not decide to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

After 18 months of intensive negotiations to settle inter-ethnic divisions, Nicos Anastasiades and Mustafa Akıncı will attempt to finesse the details of a peace deal in Geneva this week by poring over maps and discussing territorial trade-offs before tackling the potentially explosive issue of security.

Asked if he was optimistic as he arrived at the UN’s European headquarters on Monday morning, Anastasiades, the Greek Cypriot leader, said: “Ask me when we are finished.”

For an island the finer skills of peacemakers has long eluded, the talks are seen as a defining moment in the arduous process of resolving what has long been regarded as the Rubik’s cube of diplomacy.

On Sunday, the new UN secretary general, António Guterres, described the talks as a historic opportunity. In Nicosia officials on both sides of the buffer zone spoke of “the best and last chance” for a settlement. Other experts described the talks as the endgame.

“This is the final phase of the final phase,” said Hubert Faustmann, a professor of history and political science at the University of Nicosia. “It will be the first time since 1974 that Turkey and the Greek Cypriots will hold direct talks at the negotiating table.”

A week of fierce horse-trading lies ahead before Greece, Turkey and former colonial power Britain – the island’s three guarantors under its post-independence constitution – convene on 12 January to address the issues of troop presence and security in an envisioned federation. Both are seen as crucial to ensuring 1974 is never repeated.
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Worldcrunch's Fabrice Nodé-Langlois reports on the potential impact of Brexit on the vulnerable island of Cyprus, member of the European Union and the Commonwealth both.

Cathi Delaney chooses a shady spot on the terrace to sip a refreshing cup of iced coffee. It's October, but with temperatures well above 30°C (86°F), the nearly 60-year-old British woman is perfectly comfortable wearing just a floral dress. This, after all, is what brought her to Cyprus: the sun, the sea, the sweet life.

But in recent months, back in her country of origin, a majority of voters opted for Brexit, that will force the UK to leave the European Union — adding a major element of anxiety to her otherwise trouble-free existence. "Brexit raises a lot of uncertainties," she says, noting the various legal and bureaucratic issues. "Will I get my state pension in six years? Will my husband benefit from the General Hospital Scheme that gives affordable access to health care?"

Delaney is one of an estimated 80,000 subjects of Her Majesty the Queen currently residing in Cyprus, an EU member for the past 12 years. Together they represent about 10% of the small republic's population. Around half of these ex-pats are retired. The rest work in finance, tourism or in the military. Cyprus has two British bases.

A former insurance agent, she retired early with her husband, at 45, to move here to this house they had built in the village of Tala, where half of the population is foreign. That was 14 years ago. "We'd fallen in love with this quiet, cool place in the hills, 10 minutes from the Coral Bay beach," she says.

The couple has lived on their savings. But like many Brits, they now fear they might need private insurance to cover their health care costs. Delaney, who serves as a town councilor (as allowed under EU rules), also worries about the impact Brexit may have on local commerce.
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Bloomberg's "As Brexit Splits Europe, One Divided Island Edges Toward Unity" gives some hope for Cypriot reunification.

It looks like an ordinary summer’s evening on Ledra Street, the pedestrianized thoroughfare of stores and cafes that bisects Nicosia’s old town: Elderly Greek Cypriot men sip coffee as Turkish Cypriot teenagers rush through a border crossing at the end of the road to catch a local band.

This is the opposite side of the European map from the rift caused by the U.K.’s Brexit referendum, and the mood couldn’t be more different in the continent’s last divided capital city. The reunification of Cyprus -- split between north and south since Turkey’s invasion in 1974, a little more than a dozen years after independence from Britain -- is a tale of false dawns, but the feeling in Nicosia is that the stars in the eastern Mediterranean just might be aligning.

What’s changed is that the leaders of both parts of the island are pursuing talks on their own power-sharing arrangement rather than one imposed by the United Nations. While they have the traditional backing of the U.S. and European Union, Turkey now supports hammering out a deal in coming months.

"This time I feel we have a real chance as both leaders seem determined,” said Maria Sophocleous, a 60-year-old Greek-Cypriot pensioner whose home village now lies on the Turkish-speaking side. “They know that it’s the last opportunity for reunification."
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  • blogTO identify five neighbourhoods in downtownish Toronto with cheap rent.

  • The Dragon's Gaze notes one paper suggesting Earth-like worlds may need both ocean and rocky surfaces to be habitable.

  • The Dragon's Tales reports that Pluto's Sputnik Planum is apparently less than ten million years old.

  • Geocurrents begins an interesting regional schema of California.

  • Language Log notes a Hong Kong ad that blends Chinese and Japanese remarkably.

  • Lawyers, Guns and Money notes that societies with low inequality report higher levels of happiness than others.

  • The Map Room points to the lovely Pocket Atlas of Remote Islands.

  • Marginal Revolution wonders why Amazon book reviews are so dominated by American reviewers.

  • Savage Minds considers, after Björk, the ecopoetics of physical geology data.

  • Window on Eurasia commemorates the 25th anniversary of the Vilnius massacre.

  • The Financial Times' The World blog looks at Leo, the dog of the Cypriot president.

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  • blogTO notes that the Union-Pearson Express is offering big discounts to attract riders, and observes that free WiFi in the TTC has been extended to Sherbourne and Castle Frank stations.

  • The Dragon's Gaze links to a paper suggesting hot Jupiters can form in situ.

  • The Dragon's Tales notes Japan wants Australia to buy its naval vessels.

  • The Everyday Sociology Blog looks back at eight years of output, and suggests it shows the broad scope of sociology.

  • Far Outliers notes the rate of mental illness among Soviet Afghanistan veterans.

  • Geocurrents looks at the very late settlement of Kiribati's Line Islands.

  • Joe. My. God. notes that Cyprus has approved civil unions.

  • Lawyers, Guns and Money shares on the shallow roots of the Non-Aligned Movement in the Third World.

  • Marginal Revolution notes that highly-educated people keep dropping out of the army.

  • Steve Munro notes the relationship between development charges and transit planning in Toronto.

  • The Power and the Money's Noel Maurer suggests unlikely ways for a Republican to take Democratic-leaning Michigan.

  • Savage Minds shares an ethnographic perspective on the history of Pilgrims in New England.

  • Transit Toronto notes that CP will be sending in trains filled with food to promote food banks.

  • Window on Eurasia warns about the vulnerability of Belarus to integration with Russia.

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  • Centauri Dreams argues that humans have a deep-seated instinct to explore.

  • Crooked Timber looks at how Greek debt is a political problem.

  • The Dragon's Gaze notes an unsuccessful search for gas giant exoplanets around a white dwarf and looks at a new system for classifying exoplanets by mass.

  • The Dragon's Tales looks at a report that a Patriot missile battery in Turkey got hacked.

  • Geocurrents notes how the eastern Yemeni region of Al Mahrah is seeking autonomy.

  • Lawyers, Guns and Money notes the failure of the United States' Cuban embargo.

  • Marginal Revolution speculates as to the peculiar dynamics of political leadership in China.

  • Personal Reflections' Jim Belshaw reflects on Greece.

  • The Planetary Society Blog notes that Pluto can now be explored via Google Earth.

  • Registan looks at the decline of Tajikistan's Islamic Renaissance Party.

  • Strange Maps shares a map that charts out the City of London and its threats.

  • Towleroad notes an upcoming vote over a civil partnership bill in Cyprus.

  • Window on Eurasia reports that most books published in Russia have small print runs.

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  • blogTO shares vintage pictures of Toronto's Ossington Avenue.

  • Centauri Dreams reports on the potential discovery of an exomoon of a rogue planet.

  • D-Brief notes that stars can apparently form in nebulae of much lower density than previous believed.

  • The Frailest Thing quotes Hannah Arendt on the race between success and catastrophe.

  • Geocurrents takes a look at the deeply divided island of Cyprus.

  • Joe. My. God. notes that Utah is now trying to block gay adoption.

  • Lawyers, Guns and Money's Erik Loomis is critical of American outcry regarding French labour laws limiting work-related communications after 6 pm.

  • Torontoist notes that Rob Ford is now a protagonist in a custom faction of the venerable game Civilization.

  • The Volokh Conspiracy quotes Frederick Douglass' sage words on Chinese immigration.

  • Window on Eurasia argues that Russians are willing to support Putin so long as nothing bad happens and notes that Russians are emigrating from the Siberian republic of Tuva.

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  • Centauri Dreams' Paul Gilster comments upon Brian Stableford's argument that modern science fiction traces its origins to 19th century France.

  • The Dragon's Gaze notes a new study suggesting that 0.5% of G dwarf stars and 0.8% of K dwarf stars have very close-orbiting planets.

  • At Eastern Approaches, Joe's Biden's reassurance to Poland that NATO would defend Polish frontiers in the case of conflict is noted.

  • Far Outliers observes that, at the beginning of the Second World War in the Pacific, Australian defenses in Melanesia were quite weak, additionally commenting on the first Japanese naval deployment south of the equator.

  • The Financial Times' World blog notes that, while the Cypriot economy is doing less badly than predicting, the ongoing dependence on Russia is a problem.

  • Language Log's Victor Mair is critical of a new system for learning Chinese script.

  • Marginal Revolution's Tyler Cowen observes, after the New York Times, that the economy of South Ossetia five years after the Georgian war isn't doing very well.

  • Open the Future's Jamais Cascio, reacting to the Crimean crisis, doesn't think much of futurological methods which keep making errors.

  • The Power and the Money's Noel Maurer notes Ukraine's exceptional economic dependence on Russia.

  • Visiting Toronto, Peter Rukavina quite likes the inexpensive integration of the TTC into Pearson International Airport.

  • Towleroad notes that Susanna Atanus, a Republican congressional candidate in Illinois who said autism was God's punishment for same-sex marriage, won the party primary.

  • The Volokh Conspiracy's Eugene Kontrovich observes the difficult situation of France, which has contracted to sell helicopter carriers to Russia.

  • John Scalzi at Whatever commemorates twenty years of his online presence.

  • Window on Eurasia notes that the Russian annexation of Crimea is accelerating the disintegration of the post-Soviet space and warns of a crackdown on Russian civil society.

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Window on Eurasia's Paul Goble linked to and summarized a Russian-language article on the position and history of Cyprus' large Russophone community.

In an article on Rosbalt.ru, Tatyana Khrulyeva surveys the rise and what she sees as the potential fall of this community. According to the 2011 Cyprus census, there were only 8164 Russian citizens living on the island, but in reality, there are far more Russians there and they play a variety of roles (rosbalt.ru/main/2014/02/15/1233278.html).

“Not all Russians allowed themselves to be counted,” she says, given that many of them are involved in activities they do not want to call attention to. Moreover, not all of the members of Russian Cyprus are ethnic Russians or citizens of the Russian Federation. Many have other backgrounds and it is thus more appropriate to speak of the Russian-speaking community.”

Using that measure, unofficial calculations suggest that there are some 50,000 Russian speakers on Cyprus, approximately six percent of the island’s total population. Most are in the major cities, and there are so many in Limassol that some there jokingly refer to it as “Limassolograd.”

[. . .]

According to Khrulyeva, there are four basic sub-groups of the Russian-language community of Cyprus. First, there are the Pontic Greeks who in Soviet times lived on the shore of the Black Sea. Most of this community left Russia in the early 1990s, many went to Greece proper, but 10,000 settled in Cyprus, mostly around Pafos.

[. . .]

Second are the group Khrulyeva calls “the Russian wives.” According to Cyprus media, “almost 50 percent of the marriages” on the island involve Russian women. In the 1970s and 1980s, Cypriots often went to the USSR for higher educations and returned “not just with diplomas but also with spouses.” Many of these women, despite their degrees, now work as domestics.

The third group consists of “Russians who are able to live in Cyprus for an extended time during the course of the year.” Most of these people have good incomes and are from Russia or Ukraine. They came to Cyprus not only because of the good weather and good schools but because until the island joined the EU, it was just about the best place in the world for Russian companies to register and operate as offshores.

And the fourth, Khrulyeva continues, are those who came to find work. Getting a visa to Cyprus is easy but getting work permits is much less so. Consequently, those who came in pursuit of jobs have often found that while they like the weather and the schools, they are forced to work in service jobs far beneath those they were trained to do.


A recent New York Times article suggests that Cyprus after the bailout--which targeted disproportionately non-EU, especially Russian, bank account holders--is starting to regain its attractiveness. Cyprus has problems, but apparently it's still better off than Russia.
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Via Nicholas Whyte I came across Peter Birks' account of what is--at best--remarkable incompetence on the part of the Cypriot financial sector in buying up Greek sovereign debt, aggravated likely by some guilty knowledge on someone's part. (This Reuters article goes into more detail.)

By April 2010 Bank of Cyprus had €2.4bn worth of Greek bonds – above the Bank's own limit, but that limit was raised a month later. Bank of Cyprus bosses still maintain that "everybody was buying into Greek bonds at the time". Well, yes, there were lots of sellers (mainly banks) and lots of buyers (mainly private equity speculators). There were not many bank buyers. At the end of 2010, only two banks in Europe actually had bigger holdings than BoC (€2.2bn) and Laiki (€3.3bn). Those banks were the vastly larger operations BNP Paribas and Société Générale. And both these banks got hurt hard when the default came.

More interestingly, it appears that the Bank of Cyprus knew that it was in a bit of a mess. Notwithstanding the claim that Kypri was only referring to a short-term sell-off in response to market conditions, in April 2010 BoC moved €1.6bn in Greek bonds out of its trading book and into its "held to maturity" book. That meant that the bank could count the Greek bonds at the price it paid (the value of Greek bonds had been falling for some time). BoC said at the time that the move was made because Greece would redeem the bonds – a triumph of hope over reality, as the events of early 2012 proved.

Andreas Eliades, CEO of the group until April last year, still insists that no-one could have imagined that a European country in the euro could default.

That, of course, is an excuse we have heard from many others in the banking sector – not just in Cyprus. "No-one could have foreseen it; no-one predicted it", was said again and again, despite the fact that from 2000 onwards several people were foreseeing a credit bubble and several people were predicting that it would end in tears.

When the axe fell last March, Bank of Cyprus was €1.8bn in the hole. Cyprus, whose GDP outside of offshore banking was tiny, was never going to be able to bail out BoC and Laiki. I've written before about the farce that led to a short period where all bank deposits at Boc and Laiki were going to suffer a hit. That nightmare scenario, which within 18 months would have led to banking crises in several other countries in the eurozone (starting with Slovenia) was thankfully abandoned a week later. But the larger depositors had to take a hit, and the effect was to destroy the Cypriot financial system. No-one would leave money in the Caymans if they thought their money would be confiscated. For Cyprus, the game is over and the economy is shot.

But things get even murkier. As we've seen, it would appear that the managers of the bank were almost operating on their own, with a Board of Directors who didn't really know what was going on. Was this true?

We shall never know. As Reuters reported, one day last October a memory stick was placed into a desktop computer at the Bank of Cyprus. There was some clever software on that memory stick. It quickly erased a staggering 28,000 files, including internal emails in late 2009 and early 2010 – precisely when many of the Greek bond purchases were taking place.
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  • Beyond the Beyond's Bruce Sterling is skeptical that plans to archive vast quantities of archived data accumulated over decades, even centuries, are going to be viable.

  • The Burgh Diaspora notes that for southern Europeans, Latin America is once again emerging as a destination--this time, the migration is of professionals seeking opportunities they can't find at home.

  • The Dragon's Tales' Will Baird links to a proposal by biologists that life initially evolved in highly saline environments.

  • Democracy is still fragile in the former Soviet republic of Georgia, Eastern Approaches notes.

  • Odd placenames in Minnesota are analyzed at Far Outliers.

  • A Fistful of Euros' Alex Harrowell notes the translation problems surrounding the Nazi term volkisch, liking one recent translator's suggestion that "racist" works best.

  • Razib Khan at GNXP introduces readers to the historical background behind the recent ethnic conflict in Burma.

  • Itching for Eestimaa's Guistino takes a look at same-sex marriage in Estonia.

  • Savage Minds reviews Nicholas Shaxson's book Treasure Islands, which took a look at offshore banking centres like Cyprus.

  • Torontoist's Kevin Plummer describes the background behind Elvis' 1957 performances in Toronto.

  • The negative effects of mass migration to Russia from Central Asia on sending countries, especially the republics of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, are introduced at Window on Eurasia.

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Yuri M. Zhukov's Foreign Affairs article makes the argument that Russian chose not to bailout Cyprus because, among other reasons, the Russian government wanted to stop the offshoring of Russian business and other funds. Allowing the biggest Russian offshore financial sector to collapse while other countries are loath to take on the Cypriot role works.

Facing a stark choice between losing a lucrative tax haven and throwing more money into a bottomless pit, Russia picked the strategy that it hopes will minimize its potential losses. Russian assets in Cypriot banks total approximately ten billion euros and the most recent projections of Russian losses are four to six billion euros. That is troublesome, but minor compared to the other problems Russia is facing right now: the flight of capital cost the economy 44.5 billion euros in 2012 and 63 billion in 2011.

To be sure, Cyprus is part of the financial infrastructure routinely used by Russian companies and the bailout will change how they do business. Yet many see this adjustment as inevitable and overdue. The current reliance on Cyprus originated in the early 1990s, when Russia’s financial system was in disarray, payment in foreign currency was nearly impossible, and the ruble was inflated. Seeking financial security, many Russians opened offshore accounts. The country’s financial system has since stabilized, but the use of offshore accounts has stubbornly persisted.

In December 2012, President Vladimir Putin declared “deoffshorization” as a central policy priority. In keeping with this objective, Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev has proposed “domestic offshore” zones in the far eastern regions of Russia. This is not a new idea: Russia already has over 20 special economic zones, which offer tax benefits on investment and business income. So far, however, most of these zones have had trouble attracting investment. Low taxes do not compensate for Russia’s lack of adequate property rights protections, independent judicial branch, or stable business climate -- the core reasons why so many Russians open offshore accounts in the first place.

But the EU’s growing opposition to Russian investment has created a new opportunity to lure capital back into Russia. The president of the Euro Group, Jeroen Dijsselbloem, has suggested that the Cyprus experience may serve as a model for future EU-led Eastern European bailouts. ECB officials have also reportedly warned Latvian banks not to accept outflows of Russian capital from Cyprus. Thus, Russian investors are finding it increasingly difficult and risky to park their money in the West.
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In a column published at Transitions Online, Martin Ehl argued that Latvia, with its Russian-oriented banking sector and on the eve of accession to the Eurozone, isn't on the verge of becoming the next Cyprus. Briefly, banking isn't important enough to the Latvian economy and the relevant Latvian and European authorities are keeping close watch.

During the crisis and the reform period after 2009, banking’s share of the Latvian economy declined and monitoring increased. Unlike in Cyprus, banking supervision has toughened as a result of frequent suspicions of money laundering. Still, some Russian clients of Cypriot banks, in interviews with the media, have said bankers from Latvia have already reached out to them, offering their services.

It should be noted that private Russian money is managed especially by smaller banks with a small number of wealthy clients, which constitute 20 percent of the Latvian banking business. These are banks that aren’t afraid of taking big risks. Large Scandinavian banks dominate the rest of the industry.

According to unofficial information from Latvian bankers, several transactions from Cyprus were already rejected in the past few months because of rules against money laundering.

[. . .]

“There are no grounds to expect large inflows of unknown-origin funds entering the Latvian financial sector in the nearest days, as requirements for non-resident customer assessment in Latvia are among the highest ones, …” Kristaps Zakulis, head of the country’s banking regulator, told me in a statement.

“Also, the statements that Latvia could become Cyprus No. 2 are not true, because the sizes of the financial sectors in both countries and their significance to the economy are rather different,” Zakulis said. He noted that the finance industry, including banking, makes up 40 percent of Cyprus’ GDP, compared with 3 to 3.5 percent in Latvia.
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  • Behind the Numbers' Carl Haub notes that most of the recent fall in American fertility is a consequence of falling Mexican-American fertility, with fertility in other groups remaining stable.

  • Daniel Drezner is upset that, according to its star Brad Pitt, the film version of World War Z will minimize the international politics of the anti-zombie war inasmuch as those politics made the book.

  • Eastern Approaches notes ongoing tensions in Slovakia over that nation's history of collaboration with the Nazis in the Second World War.

  • At Language Log, Steven Bird links to his account of how he's using Android tablets to record the languages of indigenous tribes in the Brazilian Amazon.

  • Marginal Revolution's Tyler Cowen thinks that Cyprus would have done better to leave the Eurozone altogether and adopt a new currency rather than stay in the Eurozone.

  • The Power and the Money's Noel Maurer is surprised that Cypriots are willing to tolerate the Euro even with the terrible costs it imposes on their economy.

  • Visual Science's Perrin Ireland documents the biosphere discovered to exist in some oceanic crustal areas.

  • Window on Eurasia's Paul Goble notes that, as a result of emigration, the once-large Russophone community of Tajikistan has almost entirely disappeared.

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  • Bag News Notes examines the use of a stock photo of some Dutch immigrant youths to illustrate a variety of different alarming articles.

  • Crasstalk's Maxichamp introduces readers to the Port Chicago disaster during the Second World War, which incidentally led to a notable civil rights case.

  • Daniel Drezner didn't find many surprises with the terms of the Cypriot bailout and notes that Russian disinterest in bailing Cyprus out underlines the extent to which it's a status quo, non-revisionist power.

  • At A Fistful of Euros, Edward Hugh speculates that the current trend of emigration from Spain may put the Spanish health and pension systems at risk, especially inasmuch as Spain needs skilled labour to boost its productivity.

  • A Geocurrents comparison of Bolivia with Ecuador, two Andean republics with large indigenous populations and radical governments, underlines the differences (Ecuador's government draws its support from the coastal Hispanophone majority and is somewhat hostile to the indigenous minority of the interior).

  • Language Hat links to a site describing the small languages of Russia.

  • Marginal Revolution's Tyler Cowen seems much more worried about the outcomes of the Cypriot bailout than Drezner.

  • Whatever's John Scalzi notes the unsustainability of Ohio's current constitutional ban on same-sex marriage, legally and in terms of popular opinion, and suggests it indicates current patterns of change.

  • Window on Eurasia's Paul Goble notes that the Moldovan enclave of Gagauzia, an autonomous Turkic-populated district, wants a voice in Moldovan foreign policy.

  • Zero Geography's Mark Graham notes the proportion of edits to geotagged English-language Wikipedia articles coming from users in the relevant countries. There are significant variations, with African articles being largely maintained by non-national users.

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Miriam Elder's Guardian article talks about the effects of the Cypriot crisis on Russians invested in the country, a fairly broad cross-section of people.

They clustered in small groups on the plush couches dotted around the lounge of the Four Seasons hotel in the port city of Limassol. Nervous whispers and furtive glances revealed these were no ordinary tourists revelling in the sun on the Mediterranean island of Cyprus.

They were Russians, who have been flocking to the city for urgent meetings with lawyers and financial advisers, fearing for their personal finances, with sums at stake ranging from the low thousands to hundreds of millions of euros and totalling more than $32bn (£27bn).

"Everyone has flown in hoping to use contacts with locals to pressure the leadership, the deputies," says a man who identifies himself only as Vladimir. "We are all very worried, very scared."

The 45-year-old businessman refreshes his iPad incessantly, seeking news from the parliament in the capital, Nicosia. If the country's banks go bust, he stands to lose €58m. Where the money came from, he declines to say.

[. . .]

Many Russians have also invested heavily in real estate on Cyprus, buying luxury properties around the island. But many of the year-round Russian residents are not wealthy and have spent several days queuing up alongside Cypriots at bank machines in a desperate attempt to withdraw cash in the event of a bank collapse.

Alexandra Zimakova, 38, a small business owner originally from St Petersburg, has just under €100,000 in Laiki Bank, the country's second largest and most troubled. "I already lived through one default, in Russia," she says, referring to the 1998 crisis when Russia defaulted on its debt, devastating its economy. "Now we have to see what will happen next. So far it's terrible panic, people talking about horrible things, rumours everywhere, very little real information."

Cyprus was meant to be different. In Russia, successful businesses are regularly raided by corrupt government inspectors and then stolen by well-funded rivals. Banks are still seen as insecure; many keep their savings at home.

Eight years ago, Zimakova bought a house outside Nicosia for €150,000. She does not know how much it is worth today, with real estate prices steadily dropping. In the past few days, neighbours have reported three robberies as people begin to store more cash at home.

"We don't know what will happen," she says, echoing the sentiments of everyone across the island, be they Russian or Cypriot.

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