The first sentence of a
recent tweet made me wonder about Donald Trump as a source of alternate histories--real alternate histories, of course, uchronias.
The idea of a European Military didn’t work out too well in W.W. I or 2. But the U.S. was there for you, and always will be. All we ask is that you pay your fair share of NATO. Germany is paying 1% while the U.S. pays 4.3% of a much larger GDP - to protect Europe. Fairness!
The problem with this first sentence is that there was no "European Military" in the First or Second World Wars for the simple reason that the two world wars were fought between different European Great Powers. There was nothing at all like the contemporary European Union, certainly no Franco-German alliance like the one that exists now. Had there been such a supranational union of European states before the First World War, these two world wars would never have come about at all.
All that said, what if there was? The
prehistory of the modern European Union and European integration generally extends far before 1945, with many liberals and radicals in 19th century Europe seeing a reorganization of the European continent into a federation of free nation-states the only way for the continent to move forward. I can just barely imagine someone like Napoleon III, acting in a somewhat different international environment (supporting liberal German nationalism against Prussia and Austria, perhaps?), favouring something like this.
Was an earlier European integration possible, perhaps organized around a Franco-German core as OTL? Could there have been, by a 1914, something like a European military? It goes without saying that the consequences of this would be enormous, for Europe and for non-Europe both. Was the non-European world was lucky to have Europe not united but tearing itself apart, for instance, to not have a Europe internally united and presented a single face to the outside world? Could an integrated Europe have kept pace with the emerging United States across the Atlantic, not falling prey to economic divisions which surely hindered European growth?
What do you think?