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  • Bad Astronomy's Phil Plait shares images of Jupiter, imaged in infrared by ALMA.

  • Centauri Dreams looks at ocean upwelling on one class of super-habitable exoplanet.

  • D-Brief looks at how the Komodo dragon survived the threat of extinction.

  • Far Outliers reports on a mid-19th century slave raid in the Sahel.

  • Gizmodo notes that the secret US Air Force spaceplane, the X-37B, has spent two years in orbit. (Doing what?)

  • JSTOR Daily looks at the economic underpinnings of medieval convents.

  • Dave Brockington writes at Lawyers, Guns and Money about the continuing meltdown of the British political system in the era of Brexit, perhaps even of British democracy.

  • The LRB Blog looks at the impact of Brexit on the Common Travel Area.

  • Marginal Revolution reports on how Poland has tried to deter emigration by removing income taxes on young workers.

  • Carole Naggar writes at the NYR Daily about the photography of women photographers working for LIFE, sharing examples of their work.

  • Starts With A Bang's Ethan Siegel explains why time has to be a dimension of the universe, alongside the three of space.

  • Frank Jacobs of Strange Maps shares NASA images of the forest fires of Amazonia.

  • Window on Eurasia notes that many Russophones of Ukraine are actually strongly opposed to Russia, contrary Russian stereotypes of language determining politics.

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  • This report from the Osservatorio Balcani e Caucaso noting the sheer scale of emigration in parts of rural Albania, proceeding to the point of depopulating entire territories, tells a remarkable story.

  • This opinion suggesting that, due to the breakdown of the economy of Venezuela, we will soon see a refugee crisis rivaling Syria's seems frighteningly plausible.

  • Politico Europe notes that, in the case of Latvia, where emigration has helped bring the country's population down below two million, there are serious concerns.

  • OZY tells the unexpected story of hundreds of young Namibian children who, during apartheid, were raised in safety in Communist East Germany.

  • Many Chinese are fleeing the pollution of Beijing and other major cities for new lives in the cleaner environments in the southern province of Yunnan. The Guardian reports.

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In a brief post at Demography Matters, I linked to Paul Krugman's blog post specilating about demographic debt spirals and to the blog's past speculations on the topic in relation to Portugal.
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Here's a few links to demographics-related news stories I thought readers might be interested in.



Eurasianet, via Inter Press Service, features an article describing how many children in Kyrgyzstan have been left effective orphans by the migration of their parents, for work purposes, to Russia and Kazakhstan. I've read of similar phenomena elsewhere in the world, for instance in other post-Soviet republics like Armenia and Moldova.



The Guardian carried the news that Polish, on account of the past decade of immigration, is the second most common language by number of speakers in England, with the half-million Polish ranking just behind Welsh-speakers in total numbers.



On a related note, The Telegraph reports that not only have 3.6 million Britons emigrated in the decade 2001-2011, just under two million were people in the 25-44 age group, i.e. not retirees looking for the good life in France or Spain.



The Washington Post takes note of the fact that in Ireland, the ongoing post-boom recession is made relatively tolerable only by the resumption of large-scale emigration.



A recent OECD report points out that the German labour market hasn't been taking up large numbers of immigrant recently, tracing the problems to a regulatory system that's seen more as administering a ban on migrant workers with exceptions than one that enables migration, particularly for non-highly skilled workers, as well as the relatively small number of potential migrants fluent in Germany.



The Vancouver Observer notes that while Iran has a substantial population of talented computer engineers and software designers, by and large they can only exercise their talents outside of their country.



The South China Morning Post's Tom Holland writes, from a Hong Kong perspective, about how Singapore's total population and GDP may have surpassed Hong Kong's thanks to the former's liberal immigration policies, but notes that Hong Kong still has an advantage in GDP per capita. A Straits Times article, meanwhile, notes that the Singaporean government hopes to boost TFRs up to the 1.4-1.5 child per woman level, by a quarter.



The Hankoryeh notes that fertility in South Korea has risen somewhat in recent years, the TFR rising from an all-tie low of 1.08 in 2005 to 1.3 last year.



The Global Post has a photo essay depicting Chinese workers making their annual migration back to their home communities for the Lunar New Year festival.



On the subject of islands, growing migration from New Zealand (mainly to Australia, Bermuda (to the United States and Australia) and Puerto Rico (to the United States, increasingly to Florida) has been note in the press.



Al Monitor and Reuters both note the pronatalism of Erdogan in Turkey, who is trying to prevent Turkey's fertility rate from falling below the replacement level through a combination of financial incentives and public lectures.

(Crossposted at Demography Matters here.)
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I've a post up at Demography Matters highlighting a recent Toronto Life article explaining how construction workers coming to Toronto from Dublin can find jobs. Apparently Gaelic football and real Irish pubs are quite important.

Go, read.
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I've a post up at Demography Matters reporting on the startling news that, over the past decade, the Lithuanian population has fallen by a tenth to 3.05 million. This is bad.
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The Irish Times' Clifford Coonan writes about an unexpected legacy of generations of emigration from Guangdong's Taishan district: a superabundance of Western-style architecture.

Scores of Tuscan castles with elegant Rococo styling or Spanish adobes are not what you expect when travelling through southern Chinese countryside, but then, the area around Taishan is no ordinary Chinese countryside.

The odd sight of medieval battlements and Romanesque arches bears testament to Taishan’s history as an emigration centre for hundreds of years, as Taishanese left to go to the Europe, the United States and Canada, setting up restaurants, building railroads and panning for gold in the expanding New World.

These days the people of Taishan are leaving in droves to study in the universities and work in the software companies in the West, and the government is worried about a “brain drain” that could stifle much-needed innovation as China emerges as an economic powerhouse. The region’s history is startlingly familiar to Irish visitors.

Approaching one building, you see a narrow, heavily fortified entrance. The windows are small and barred, but heavily ornate, and so are clearly a difficult proposition for an early 20th century bandit, keen to steal the booty of a returned emigrant flush with cash from building the railroads of the American West. At the top are turrets and Romanesque arches.

Some of the buildings are more than 400 years old, but most of these edifices were built by returned emigrants in the early 20th century, who needed a way to protect their money from robbers during the period of lawlessness which characterised the dying days of the Qing dynasty, which ended in 1911, and the early Republican period of Chinese history.

[. . .]

In China, a combination of the rush to modernity and poor construction has seen many significant buildings destroyed, but the area around Taishan is full of wonderful examples of Chinese takes on the great architectural styles of the West. There are whole streets with covered arcades similar to the style seen in northern Italian cities such as Bologna, and family homes modelled on the Romanesque Palazzo Vecchio in Florence. Others are built in Spanish adobe style, and there are also dwellings with strong elements of southeast Asian architecture.
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I've a post up taking a look at a recent series of posts by Noel Maurer at his blog examining how the mass migration of Barbadians to work on the Panama Canal in the first decade of the 20th century helped push the country into the First World by the first decade of the 21st century, with suggestions as to the relevance of Barbados' example to other countries in the century ahead.
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I've a post up at Demography Matters that takes a look at migration in Indonesia. As migration within Indonesia takes on importance, the numbers of Indonesian emigrants both permanent and temporary are growing. No, the Indonesians aren't invading Australia. Yes, the Indonesians are moving on a large scale to Malaysia and to a Middle East peculiarly lacking basic protections for these migrants.

Go, read.
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I've got a post up at Demography Matters that provides a potted history of Portuguese emigration and links to Noel Maurer's ost on the surprising new destination for Portuguese emigrants. Go, read both of these posts.
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Over at Demography Matters, I've a post up that takes a look at the migration-related issues of independent Samoa: if Samoans can no longer find jobs in American Samoa, what are they to do?
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Over at Demography Matters I've a post up referring to a recent projection of population in Jamaica that expects the population to decline by 2050.
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I've a post up examining how the Catholic Church in early 20th century French Canada and contemporary Mexico examining how the Roman Catholic Church first tried to prevent then tried to regulate emigrants and their behaviours, with suggestions that this sort of transnationalism might be present right now.
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Nadia Agsous's article at oulala.net, the first of a series, examines the beginnings of Algerian immigration to France. It's a fascinating story.

Les déplacements de la population algérienne de la colonie vers la métropole remonte à la fin des années 1870 soit quelques années suivant le débarquement des troupes coloniales françaises en Algérie. Issue principalement de la région de Kabylie, cette migration est essentiellement provoquée par le bouleversement de la structure économique et sociale algérienne. En effet, l’imposition du système colonial avec son lot d’expropriations et de dépossessions foncières au profit des colons a engendré la déstructuration de l’économie traditionnelle algérienne, d’une part. Et d’autre part, l’appauvrissement et la paupérisation des paysans algériens. « De l’état pastoral et patriarcal, où il n’y avait ni riches, ni pauvres, la société algérienne, déchue de ses bases économiques et brisée dans ses structures internes tendait à se stratifier selon une autre hiérarchie : multiplication du nombre des petits propriétaires et fellahs, sans terre, transformations de ces derniers d’abord en khemas (métayers) puis en ouvriers agricoles », écrivent A. Sayad et A. Gillette.

[. . .]

Les émigrés de cette première génération qui venaient de Kabylie étaient essentiellement concentrés « dans les mines et les usines du Nord-Pas de Calais, dans les raffineries et les ports marseillais et dans les entreprises parisiennes ». Ces hommes étaient des « émissaires délégués par leurs familles et par le groupe pour une mission précise, limitée dans le temps », analyse A. Sayad. Et selon M. Harzoune, « les communautés villageoises ont maîtrisé la noria des migrations, organisant les départs et les retours qui intervenaient généralement après un court séjour en France ». Ainsi, les hommes qui traversaient la mer pour vendre leur force de travail en France « étaient sélectionnés par le groupe selon les principes de l’habitus paysans ». De ce fait, l’émigration prenait « l’aspect d’une entreprise collective, décidée et programmée par la communauté paysanne ». Et étant essentiellement « contrôlés » par le groupe et « soumis » au monde paysan, ces déplacements étaient « ordonnés », « provisoires » et « limités dans le temps parce que limités dans –leurs- objectifs ». Ils avaient pour mission et pour fonction de « sauvegarder et de soutenir l’ordre paysan et de lui donner ainsi les moyens de se perpétuer en tant que tel ».


Here's my English translation.

The movement of population of the colony of Algeria to the mainland began in the late 1870s, a few years after the landing of French colonial troops in Algeria. Issuing mainly from the region of Kabylie, this migration was mainly caused by the disruption of the economic and social structure of Algeria. Indeed, the imposition of the colonial system with its share of expropriation and dispossession of land to settlers led to the disintegration of the traditional economy of Algeria on one hand, and on the other hand caused the impoverishment and the impoverishment of Algerian farmers. "In the pastoral and patriarchal state, where there was neither rich nor poor, Algerian society, deprived of its economic foundations and broken in its internal structures tended to stratify according to another hierarchy: increasing the number of small fellahs and owners, landless, transformations of the latter first into Khemais (sharecroppers) and then farm workers," write A. Sayad and A. Gillette.

[. . .]

The first generation of emigrants who came from Kabylia were mainly concentrated "in the mines and mills of the Nord-Pas de Calais, in refineries and the ports of Marseilles and in Paris businesses." These men were "emissaries delegated by their families fora specific, time-limited mission, limited in time," says A. Sayad. M. Harzoune said, "The village communities have mastered the flux migration, arranging departures and returns that generally occurred after a short stay in France." Thus, men who crossed the sea to sell their labor in France "were selected by the group according to the principles of peasant habits." As a result, emigration took "the appearance of a collective enterprise, decided and planned by the peasant community." And being essentially "controlled" by the group and "subject" in the farming world, these movements were "ordained", "provisional" and "limited in time because of their limitedobjectives." They had the mission and function of "protecting and supporting the farmer and giving the grioup the means to perpetuate themselves."
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The Globe and Mail's Anita Flash writes about how Québec is successfully attracting students from the heavily immigrant-populated Paris suburb and department of Seine-Saint-Denis to its universities.

Second-year business major Zine Rekik has been saving the euros he earns as a part-time supermarket cashier for two years so he could study abroad.

So when Mr. Rekik encountered Quebec university recruiters in the rough and tumble Paris suburb of Seine-Saint Denis last month, it was a match made in heaven.

It was the first time any foreign university had come searching for students in the Seine-Saint Denis or 93 region, an area that most French postsecondary schools ignore and most foreigners know as the centre of riots by disadvantaged minority youth 3½ years ago.

After a day of visits with students in the battered halls of the region's two universities, the recruiters had persuaded more than 40 young people, including Mr. Rekik, that Quebec was the place where they could "live the difference."

Mr. Rekik, 19, hopes to attend University of Quebec in Montreal this fall, where he wants to earn a master's degree in business. After that, he hopes to start his career in Quebec as a manager.

"It will be so good," he says of his hoped-for stay in Montreal. "I will go to class in the morning with a big smile. Then I will study in my little room in the student residence, then I will do some sports and I will make a lot of friends and maybe I will travel. I know I am going to blossom."
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Over at Demography Matters, I've got a post up exploring the trends behind the gradual assimilations of almost all of Francophone Canada outside of Québec, and its usefulness as a study of an oft-neglected, oft-politicized demographic issue that is only one of many such.
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The Toronto Star carries in today's edition an interesting article "Tiny island aims to be first non-smoking nation", originally written by Kathy Marks for The Independent, concerning the New Zealand-associated Polynesian island of Niue.

Niue, South Pacific–It is the world's smallest self-governing state, with a population of just 1,400 and few resources other than fish and coconuts. But the South Pacific island of Niue believes it can set an example by becoming the first country in the world to go smoke-free.

There are about 250 smokers on Niue, a speck of coral with a GDP of barely $4,600 per person, and local officials say the cost of treating smoking-related illnesses is placing a heavy strain on the health budget.

Sitaleki Finau, Niue's director of health, is backing a bill to prohibit smoking and the sale of tobacco in public areas and private homes. The bill has been presented to parliament, but the government has not yet signed on. Finau said he expected a ban to face stiff opposition from the tobacco industry and other commercial interests. But he urged MPs to be bold and vote for it.

"Small countries are allowed to be ambitious," he said. "If a small country can do this, then big countries will start thinking. Imagine what that means."

The government would lose revenue from tobacco taxes, but that would be more than offset by savings in the health budget, he said.

[. . .]

No date has been set for a vote, which could be two years away. Niue, 2,200 kilometres northeast of Auckland and 500 kilometres from Tonga, its nearest neighbour, is a former British protectorate. Britain gave it to New Zealand as a reward for the latter's contribution to the Anglo-Boer War, but since 1974 it has been independent "in free association" with Wellington.

Those who live on the island, 100 miles square, regard it as a South Pacific paradise. Beaches are heavenly, crime is non-existent and the plentiful seafood includes crabs so large that people walk them on leashes. The locals serenade each other on guitars while watching tropical sunsets.


Despite all that, everyone is leaving. The population is in steep decline, and some believe it has dropped below a sustainable level.


They aren't joking about that last bit. As Te Ara Encyclopedia of New Zealand notes, emigration of Niueans to New Zealand has taken on astonishing proportions.

When 150 Niuean First World War troops landed for training in Auckland in 1915, they were greeted by the few Niueans who lived there. The 1936 census recorded 54 Niue-born residents in New Zealand. It was around this time that chain migration began, where family members established themselves in New Zealand so that others could follow. By 1943 the population had increased to 200. They grouped around the Auckland suburbs of Freemans Bay, Grey Lynn and Parnell. There, well-dressed men met in hotels to speak their native Niuean and sample the vai mamali (‘smiling water’).

In the First World War, 150 Niueans volunteered for active service. The majority had never been out of the tropics or eaten palagi (western) food. They spoke no English and had never worn shoes. In 1916, after training for three months at Narrow Neck camp in Auckland, they were dispatched to Egypt and France with the New Zealand Māori Contingent. Theirs is not a battlefield story; it is one of body and climate shock – 82% were hospitalised and many died as they had no immunity to European diseases. Returned soldiers had been exposed to a much wider world, and although most settled back on Niue, some grew footloose and migrated.
When tropical cyclones battered Niue in 1959 and 1960, new houses were built with New Zealand aid. But the introduction of modern conveniences changed Niuean attitudes. During the 1960s hundreds turned their backs on villages and bush gardens: ‘whole families flew away, wrote back and encouraged the others to follow’.1 This exodus was fuelled by the opening of Niue’s airport in 1971. And when Niue became self-governing in 1974, many Niueans hurried over, mistakenly thinking that they would no longer be able to enjoy residency rights in New Zealand.

Migration only slowed as numbers on Niue dwindled. The population had peaked at 5,200 in 1966; by 2003 Niue’s government estimated it at 1,700 (others put it as low as 1,300). In contrast, there were 14,424 Niueans in New Zealand in 1991; by 2006 there were 22,476 – 75% were New Zealand born. Niueans represent about 9% of New Zealand’s Pacific population. They rarely return to the atoll, and although they can draw a New Zealand pension in Niue, few take this option.


By 1981, Niueans in New Zealand had come to outnumber Niueans in Niue. This 2008 abstract suggests that three-quarters of all ethnic Niueans in the world now live in New Zealand along with two-thirds of the speakers of the Niuean language, as a simple consequence of the lack of opportunities on Nuie and traditional patterns of movement.
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I've been thinking about how, or if, to react to an unsettling news story that came out earlier this month, "U.S. deserter could qualify as refugee: court".

An American war deserter could have a valid claim for refugee status in Canada, the Federal Court ruled on Friday.

In a decision that may have an impact on dozens of refugee claimants in Canada, Federal Court Justice Robert Barnes said Canada's refugee board erred by rejecting the asylum bid of Joshua Key. He ordered that a new panel reconsider the application.

Key was sent to Iraq in 2003 as a combat engineer for eight months where he said he was responsible for nighttime raids on private Iraqi homes, which included searching for weapons.

He alleged that during his time in Iraq he witnessed several cases of abuse, humiliation, and looting by the U.S. army.

When Key was back in the U.S on a two-week leave, he said he was suffering from debilitating nightmares and that he couldn't return. A military lawyer told him that he could either return to Iraq or face prison.

Instead, Key took his family to Canada and applied for refugee status.

While the immigration board concluded that some of the alleged conduct by the U.S military included a "disturbing level of brutality," it said the conduct did not meet the definition of a war crime or a crime against humanity.

Barnes said the board erred "by concluding that refugee protection for military deserters and evaders is only available where the conduct objected to amounts to a war crime, a crime against peace or a crime against humanity."

Citing a case from the U.S. Federal Court of Appeal, Barnes said officially condoned military misconduct could still support a refugee claim, even if it falls short of a war crime.

"The authorities indicate that military action which systematically degrades, abuses or humiliates either combatants or non-combatants is capable of supporting a refugee claim where that is the proven reason for refusing to serve," Barnes wrote.


As The Globe and Mail's Tu Thanh Ha points out, this decision is strictly limited in scope to a select minority of deserters.

The ruling is one of the first in favour of U.S. soldiers who fled to Canada, following the failure last year of deserters Jeremy Hinzman and Brandon Hughey to persuade Canadian courts that they would be unfairly treated if they are court-martialed in the United States.

"While the Hinzman decision has certainly set the bar very high for deserters from the United States military," Judge Barnes wrote, it would still be possible for a deserter to prove he had tried all avenues to evade overseas duty or unfair punishment in the United States.

Having deserted while he was on furlough, "Private Key would have been deployed back to Iraq within two weeks of his arrival in the United States, the opportunity to pursue a release or re-assignment may not have been realistic," Judge Barnes wrote.


A bid for asylum, it should be noted, is a far cry from actually receiving asylum. It still unsettles me that the possibility of a successful bid for asylum by an American soldier exists and--as[livejournal.com profile] zibblsnrt says in the comments--be taken seriously, almost as much as I am by (say) Canada's own record in regards to casual military atrocities. (The name of the victim in Canada's own Abu Ghraib photos is Shidane Arone.)
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I come across too many news articles to give each proper credit. Hence, this new feature.


  • Der Spiegel's English-language edition has a story describing how many skilled German Turks, employable but unable to find positions in Germany, are emigrating, mainly to Turkey or to the Anglophone world.

  • The Baltimore Sun describes how Spain is reclaiming its Sephardic Jewish heritage, not only through in-depth historical studies and immigration but through tourism.

  • Kangla Online has an article that seems to constitute a warning about the risks facing Vietnamese and Cambodian women who emigrate to South Korea to marry Korean husband, and of mass movements generally.

  • In the wake of a suicide bomb attack on a Kandahar jail that freed hundreds of Taliban warriors, the Taliban is now swarming Kandahar.

  • Robert Mugabe warns the opposition that if the ongoing election-related violence in Zimbabwe continues they will be arrested.

  • The fatal shooting of two 25-year-old men as they sat in their car with a girlfriend in a gentrifying area of Toronto has thrown Toronto.

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Andre Vittchek's "Tale of Two Samoas", hosted at Foreign Policy in Focus, paints a very unflattering picture of life in the Samoan archipelago. Homeland of the Polynesian Samoans, Samoa divided between an independent Samoa (formerly Western Samoa) with close New Zealand links and the dependent American territory of American Samoa. Like other Polynesian states, both Samoas have very heavy emigration in the second half of the 20th century, with Samoans heading in very large numbers to New Zealand and to American Samoa, Samoans leaving American Samoa in turn for the United States, and Samoan communities growing up elsewhere throughout the Pacific Rim. This ermigration is driven partly by economic factors--both Samoas are quite poor. In Vittchek's reading, motives for emigration extend well beyond the economic.

Samoans leave for more than just economic reasons. Samoa is a feudal and extremely oppressive society, a combination of imported democratic principles and the tribal rule of the so-called matai (chiefs). Ordinary citizens are controlled by the chiefs, the family, and religious institutions including the Mormons and Jehovah’s Witnesses. The suicide rate is very high in both Samoas as is the rate of sexual abuse, domestic violence, and violent crime in general.

Boredom is another factor behind emigration. The entire country of Samoa boasts only one bookstore, which is really a bible shop rather than a bookseller. There is only one cinema. Samoa may be a paradise for a few, mainly retired, foreigners who call it home. But despite the bombardment from the government of nationalist and often xenophobic slogans, Samoa is hardly a paradise for the great majority of its citizens. Fa’a Samoa--the Samoan Way--justifies all manner of ills and inequities.

[. . .]

In the 21st century, American Samoa is a very sad place. Two tuna canneries harbor Asian ships and hundreds of illegal workers. Local youth hang out aimlessly around a capital city that increasingly resembles a U.S. ghetto. There are abandoned and burned-down buildings. Graffiti is ubiquitous. Everything is in a state of general disrepair. City residents are moving out to the suburbs. The only hotel in town recently shut down one of its wings.

American Samoa is also awash in yellow ribbons, as well as bumper stickers that read "Support Our Troops in Iraq." On one of the most picturesque parts of the island, an enormous banner proclaims: "May Peace Be With Our Samoan Soldiers in Iraq. God Bless You All." U.S. flags are everywhere.

American Samoans are dying in disproportionate numbers in Iraq and Afghanistan. It is difficult to compile exact figures, but at least 15 American Samoans have died in Iraq. The death toll is tremendous, considering that the territory is the size of a small American city. Many American Samoan soldiers have come back with devastating war injuries. Post-traumatic stress disorder also plagues the returnees. Behind its barbed wire, the United States Reserve Te’o Soldiers Support Center offers a telephone number for the suicide hotline. It is posted near the entrance door, together with other emergency numbers.

[. . .]

An old lady on remote Aunu’u Island told me: "Many people want to serve in the U.S. navy or army. They want to make money but they also want to join the army to escape boredom--to experience adventure that they are being promised. Many people are very poor, working for three dollars an hour. We have over 400 inhabitants here on the island, but every week someone leaves for the United States. To some it doesn’t matter what they are going to do on the mainland: whether they wash dishes or go to the military barracks."

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